Dynamite!! 2010 or Sengoku
- Thread starter Nastycrow
- Start date
i am also hoping i can get takaya, and kawajiri at a good price, i will be making a decent play on kawajiri if i can get him at anything less then -130. thomson did not looke good in his last fight against JZ, or 2 fights ago vs pat healy. i was at the hp pavilion and watched his last 2 fights live, and he was losing to healy until he got that glove grabbing RNC, and IMO DECISIVELY LOST to jz, and i think if you combine the marathon round with the japanese judges, kawajiri is a good play. as of now without any odds out i think mousasi will suprise people and actually hang with kyotoro on the feet, but will eventually lose a decision, the jenotsu fight is a vey exciting matchup, this is truly how you test mma vs boxing, one round mma, next round k1. it will be a VERY short night for wichever fighter starts out of his element. kharitonov should be able to beat mizuno using his size advantage, but ring rust could be a factor, and singh jaideep just handed him an a** whoopin so he may not be recovered. mizuno should be able to get le banner down and get a sub from top position,but we all know what will happen if mizuno cant use his judo and forced to exchange with jerome wearing 4oz gloves. akiyo"wicky" nishiura is going to get pwn'd by yamoto since it will be under k1 rules. i think the sakurai/high fight is a toss up, i think its funny both have been brutally knocked out by zaromskis with a head kick. and either could win. and as much as i would love to bet on minowaaaaaaaaaaaamaaaaaaaaaaan!!! i think this fight will look exactly like his last fight with ishii. also as sad as it is, although saku will have a big size advantage over the whitemare, i think this may be another brutal kick knockout win for zaromskis in japan.
Takaya can definitely bang with Bibi, just like he did in the Featherweight GP final. On that night both fighters had a semi-final fight, and Bibi took virtually no damage against Joe Warren, and was fresher than Takaya was, who fought a full 10 min with Tokoro. At the dog odds, the arena behind Takaya, and a good chance of this fight staying on the feet, I like a bet on Takaya.
At this point a bet on Minowa seems +EV vs any out of shape opponent. Izumi does have a decorated judo background, but Minowa should get some decent opportunities for a leglock, especially late in the fight.
I probably won't make any other plays until Wednesday, as I am stuck due to the blizzard and do not have access to my video library.
Me likey Zaromskis. Good wrestling, gets up from the bottom well, relentless fighter keeps coming forward trying to do damage always scoring points and trying to finish the fight. He does get hit alot but Saku only has two TKO victories due to strikes and that's to Ken Shamrock and Dong Sik Yoon so I don't see that happening. Saku's grappling doesn't look anywhere near what it was and I find it hard to see him getting a submission win or even holding him down...
4.3u to win 2u on Mr Zaromskis.
Don't fancy anything else. Wouldn't be suprised to see a Reem upset as he hasn't trained MMA for a long time, those small gloves do bad things when a big dude is behind them, hoping he smashes Duffman though...
Chris_B said:
Me likey Zaromskis. Good wrestling, gets up from the bottom well, relentless fighter keeps coming forward trying to do damage always scoring points and trying to finish the fight. He does get hit alot but Saku only has two TKO victories due to strikes and that's to Ken Shamrock and Dong Sik Yoon so I don't see that happening. Saku's grappling doesn't look anywhere near what it was and I find it hard to see him getting a submission win or even holding him down...
4.3u to win 2u on Mr Zaromskis.
Don't fancy anything else. Wouldn't be suprised to see a Reem upset as he hasn't trained MMA for a long time, those small gloves do bad things when a big dude is behind them, hoping he smashes Duffman though...
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It is like Sakuraba is Japan's hated red headed step child (rather than their beloved national hero) as they seem to always put him in front of deadly strikers. I agree that Zaromskis kicks his head off.
It seems to me that Kawajiri is the man who almost was. He's lost pretty much every important fight and only beaten so-so competition mostly. I'm picking Thomson in what should be a close fight that goes Thomson's way. I heard Thomson's last training camp was pretty horrible and he had quite a few injuries going into the fight. With the short layoff, I'm wondering if things got better for him this time around.
Greegarr said:
It seems to me that Kawajiri is the man who almost was. He's lost pretty much every important fight and only beaten so-so competition mostly. I'm picking Thomson in what should be a close fight that goes Thomson's way. I heard Thomson's last training camp was pretty horrible and he had quite a few injuries going into the fight. With the short layoff, I'm wondering if things got better for him this time around.
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if this fight was in america i would be all thomson, but it isnt. thomson seems to keep the fight close with everyone he faces, and i think thomson kawajiri will be an all out war, but it will be very close, and when it comes down to the wire wich way do you think the judges will go?
i also think le banner has a legit shot at an upset, i know that striker<grappler but ishii is still new to combat sports, i know he is a decorated judoka, but le banner is a big boy, and they wont be wearing gi's. also le banner is going to be PTFO from his last fight. and le banner wearing 4oz gloves against anyone is nearly worth a play at a decent + number
Am I off thinking a bet on Mousasi at those odds (it is still around +200) makes a lot of sense. I need to look more into Kyotaro, but I find it hard to believe Gegard would take this fight if he didn't feel that he had a real good chance to win. He had a lot of momentum behind him until his fight with King Mo, and I would think he wouldn't take this fight unless he felt very confident he could win it. I want to look a little more into Kyotaro, but I have to think others agree that this would seemingly be a real good bet, right?
GOODNIGHTIRENE said:
TheSheriff said:
3u on Mousasi @+240
Still in shock they made him a dog here (especially this big). I almost start to think that I'm missing something very important here....
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gegard hasnt had a k1 fight in like 2 years
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I am very interested in this fight, I'm dying to lay a wager but I think it would be best if I didn't due to my unfamilarity with K-1. I remember Mousasi fighting against a washed up vet in 2008, and it is my understanding that besides that fight NYE 2008, he has not participated in Kickboxing matches since he was 19, in B-Class and C-Class level fights (I have no idea what this means, I'm assuming it's a step above amateur and maybe slightly different rules...can anyone clarify?)
Crusher got his butt handed to him by Masato not too long ago...yet Overeem was able to run through his competition this year. My original feeling was that Mousasi would be at a disadvantage stepping into a K-1 match with the current champ, after focusing on MMA for 2 years (predominately MMA for 6 years).
But Mousasi is an elite striker, who likely wears K-1 weight gloves all the time when training, and besides elbows there really isn't anything else you can do in MMA that you can't do in a K-1 match striking-wise (please correct me if I'm wrong).
I really don't know much about Kyotaro besides that he lost to Semmy this year....but wasn't he undersized?
As you can see I have too many questions to feel comfortable betting this one.
GuidaClayAllDay said:
GOODNIGHTIRENE said:
TheSheriff said:
3u on Mousasi @+240
Still in shock they made him a dog here (especially this big). I almost start to think that I'm missing something very important here....
Click to expand...
gegard hasnt had a k1 fight in like 2 years
Click to expand...
I am very interested in this fight, I'm dying to lay a wager but I think it would be best if I didn't due to my unfamilarity with K-1. I remember Mousasi fighting against a washed up vet in 2008, and it is my understanding that besides that fight NYE 2008, he has not participated in Kickboxing matches since he was 19, in B-Class and C-Class level fights (I have no idea what this means, I'm assuming it's a step above amateur and maybe slightly different rules...can anyone clarify?)
Crusher got his butt handed to him by Masato not too long ago...yet Overeem was able to run through his competition this year. My original feeling was that Mousasi would be at a disadvantage stepping into a K-1 match with the current champ, after focusing on MMA for 2 years (predominately MMA for 6 years).
But Mousasi is an elite striker, who likely wears K-1 weight gloves all the time when training, and besides elbows there really isn't anything else you can do in MMA that you can't do in a K-1 match striking-wise (please correct me if I'm wrong).
I really don't know much about Kyotaro besides that he lost to Semmy this year....but wasn't he undersized?
As you can see I have too many questions to feel comfortable betting this one.
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Gegard at least has KO power. So at these plus numbers I see him as a steal.