Cerrone vs Henderson - WEC 43
- Thread starter Nastycrow
- Start date
I honestly think it's closer than that line suggests, but not enough to put anything down on Henderson, Henderson has the wrestling skill to put Cerrone on his back and keep him there, but it's a matter of getting past Cerrone's superior kickboxing and then fending off Cerrone's excellent bottom jiu-jitsu game, I'd probably bet Henderson north of +300 or Cerrone south of -250
i honestly think both lines in this fight hold zero value. cerrone is the man but his line is way above anything that i would see +EV in against henderson. i think cerrone wins the majority but i just cant find the value. and im one of the biggest cerrone-nut huggers out there.
SIDE NOTE on WEC 43:
anybody see a line on page, let me know. thank you
elfudge35 said:
I honestly think it's closer than that line suggests, but not enough to put anything down on Henderson, Henderson has the wrestling skill to put Cerrone on his back and keep him there, but it's a matter of getting past Cerrone's superior kickboxing and then fending off Cerrone's excellent bottom jiu-jitsu game,
I'd probably bet Henderson north of +300 or Cerrone south of -250
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I agree with everything here, especially the bolded part. I've seen many more Cerrone fights than Henderson fights, but from what I've seen Henderson looks pretty good. I doubt he'll beat Cerrone, but at the same time, I wouldn't be surprised if he is turns out to be Cerrone's Brian Bowles.
just saw Henderson at +300, which is where I said I'd bet him, threw down a unit on him, feeling more and more confident that he has a good shot, I don't think Cerrone has the power to stop him and Henderson will just keep coming, I'll be really rooting for Benson
elfudge35 said:
just saw Henderson at +300, which is where I said I'd bet him, threw down a unit on him, feeling more and more confident that he has a good shot, I don't think Cerrone has the power to stop him and Henderson will just keep coming, I'll be really rooting for Benson
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Nitro said:
Yup, I threw in for 2u on Benson a couple days ago - hope we're not eating our words in a few hours
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Good instincts on Henderson. Way to cash it. Wish I had pulled the trigger with you.
Hehe, yes indeed - though the 6u from this one recovers my 6u loss on Dream 11 - I guess it is a marathon not a sprint..
The fight was real close, it could have gone either way - Henderson had way more charisma in this fight though I thought, the way he got out of those submission attempts and just manhandled Ceronne at times.. What a fight... If Henderson develops a better/more dangerous standup he's gonna go a long way..
I'm a little less impressed with Henderson than most. Cerrone just gets taken down far too easily, as he showed before against Varner. Against a fighter who avoids the takedown with a little more urgency I think Henderson has problems.
Incidentally, for as much time as Cerrone has spent in the past ten rounds with his limbs in the area of his opponents' necks without getting a finish, I have to wonder if his subs need a little tightening up. Toughness isn't enough to avoid going out if someone truely locks in a modified guillotine on your neck for ninety seconds. As slick as Cerrone's BJJ/transition game looks something is missing.