Marquardt is the more well rounded fighter, and I believe the line is well set. He is better on the feet, for sure. But Sonnens standup is improving, he was getting the better of Yushin Okami in the exchanges. But Sonnen is a threat with his wrestling. Nate has really good wrestling also, but so does Okami, and we see what happened there.(i put 2u down on Sonnen in that fight.) I think Nate will be able to keep the fight on the feet for the most part and may even be able to take Sonnen down, and win decision or maybe finish him. But there is a decent chance sonnen can do to Nate What he did to Miller and Okami and control the fight with his wrestling, and I dont think Nate will threaten off of his back. No way Sonnen finishes the fight, he loses or wins by decision. So im taking the prop that Sonnen wins by decision(+485 on 5 dimes). 1u to win 4.85u. My fantasy pick is Marquardt by decision.
Thewiseman said:
Marquardt is the more well rounded fighter, and I believe the line is well set. He is better on the feet, for sure. But Sonnens standup is improving, he was getting the better of Yushin Okami in the exchanges. But Sonnen is a threat with his wrestling. Nate has really good wrestling also, but so does Okami, and we see what happened there.(i put 2u down on Sonnen in that fight.) I think Nate will be able to keep the fight on the feet for the most part and may even be able to take Sonnen down, and win decision or maybe finish him. But there is a decent chance sonnen can do to Nate What he did to Miller and Okami and control the fight with his wrestling, and I dont think Nate will threaten off of his back. No way Sonnen finishes the fight, he loses or wins by decision. So im taking the prop that Sonnen wins by decision(+485 on 5 dimes). 1u to win 4.85u. My fantasy pick is Marquardt by decision.
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Thinking Sonnen wins at all is a fantasy.
Thats what everone said when I picked him over Okami. I am not picking him to win this one, But I think its worth a play. Sonnen by decision is not that big of a longshot.
Thewiseman said:
Thats what everone said when I picked him over Okami. I am not picking him to win this one, But I think its worth a play. Sonnen by decision is not that big of a longshot.
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This is my first post here. I use to post on Sherdog, but said some mean things so I got banned. However I argee with you, Nate should win this fight, but Sonnens game.
Thewiseman said:
Thats what everone said when I picked him over Okami. I am not picking him to win this one, But I think its worth a play. Sonnen by decision is not that big of a longshot.
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Well smart playing people would have taken Okami's long layoff and ring rust as a major factor. I wasn't surprised that Sonnen won, i was some what surprised at how relatively one sided it was.
But again, if you are listening to people who don't take injury lay offs into consideration, maybe you should listen to different people.
Since Sonnen will likely only win by decision if he does, you could place a straight bet on Nate to win, but hedge with that +480 prop bet that Sonnen wins by decision to CYA to whatever extent in the event Nate loses..
I took Okami's layoff into consideration. I didnt listen to anyone when they said Sonnen had no chance. Okami had been off for 10 months at the time, but that really didnt play into my decision, I gave Sonnen a slight edge anyway. I was suprised how one sided it was. I have thought about hedging here.
